Conventional Wisdom is Only the First Part

People like to handicap the Oscar race based on what the geezers in the Academy (of which there are more than a few) will like and historical weepies seem to be popular. However, now that people who came of age in the industry in the 1960s, like Warren Beatty & Jack Nicholson, are approaching geezerdom, I suspect (nay, hope) we may see a shift in what types of films the Academy will embrace.